Recession? Defaults? Silver and Gold Keep Surging, and Analysts Are Scared With gold and silver reaching record highs almost daily, leaving investment alternatives in the dust, analysts are scared about what this might mean for the wider economic ecosystem. Some believe this is not normal and might lead to a recession. GOLD’S AND SILVER’S BULL RALLY SCARE FINANCIAL ANALYSTS The relentless bull rally that gold and silver are experiencing is raising concerns among financial analysts, who believe that something may have broken. A recession might be just around the corner, some analysts predict. In a post-Christmas hike, gold reached $4,540 per ounce, and silver has now surpassed $76 on Comex, while Shanghai markets feature significant premiums with prices of over $80 per ounce. This metal escalade is poised to continue, as analysts note there are signs indicating there is still room for growth. Known gold bug Peter Schiff stated that one of these signs is the stagnation of mining stocks compared to the price of these metal commodities. “When the bulls don’t believe the rally, it has a long way to go,” he stressed. What’s more troubling is that there could be a physical delivery default incoming, as refiners that take 1,000-ounce bars and turn them into 1-kilogram ingots destined for Shanghai markets are at capacity. Nonetheless, Silvertrade claims that this will not stop industrial end users from taking delivery of this metal. Michael Gayed, an ETF portfolio manager, stated that this situation was not normal and that it should scare investors. Others agree, stressing that this massive move towards metals is not a good sign for the world’s economy, possibly signaling an upcoming recession. Strategist NoLimit assessed that this kind of move is part of a global loss of trust in the system, comparing it to similar setups before the dot-com bubble, the 2007 global financial crisis, and the 2019 repo market crisis. Jim Rickards recently predicted that gold might reach $10,000, with silver following along for the ride at $200 by 2026.
